Archive for August, 2008

Forex Trading – 5 Essential Facts You Need to Understand to Win

Here we are going to give you some forex facts you will need to know, before you start to trade. These facts you should understand before trading, if you don’t you will lose…

Here are your forex facts that if you understand them can lead you to forex trading success.

1. Expert Advisors are Not Experts!

In most instances the vendors selling forex robots, systems and trading signals are not experts at all and by expert I mean proven traders. They use hyped copy to sell meaningless paper simulations and traders buy them and lose. Be very wary of anyone claiming to be an expert.

2. Markets are an Odds Game Only!

You get a lot of people who will tell you can predict with scientific accuracy but this is simply not true.

If of course you could, we would all know the answer in advance and there would be no market. There an odds games and that means you will take losses along the way.

3. Simplicity Is Better than Complex

50 years ago before powerful computers and forecasting methods 95% of traders lost and they still do today. So all the advances in the period haven’t improved the number of winners.

Success relies on a simple system which you understand and can apply with confidence. If you can do this, you will have the next key point covered.

4. A Good Method will NOT Ensure Success

Because you have to keep your emotions in check and apply it with discipline.

Discipline is the key! You have to keep executing your trading signals through periods of losses until you hit a home run. If you don’t apply your method with discipline, you don’t have one!

5. Forex Trading is a learned Skill and to Inspire You

Anyone can learn to win at forex trading – it’s a learned skill not a god given gift.
This was proved in a famous experiment when trading legend Richard Dennis taught a group of people with no experience, to trade in 14 days and they went on to make $100 million. How did he do it?

He taught them a simple method and gave them confidence in it from the ground up so they would have the discipline to apply it.

Success Rests on the Following and it’s a Fact

So to win you don’t have to work hard but you do need to work smart and get the right education and mindset. If you do this you can win and you can enjoy currency trading success. Always keep in mind this fact the market doesn’t beat the trader, the trader beats himself. You can win but success is in your hands – Good Luck!

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Things You Got to Know Before You Start Online Trading

About Online Trading

The revolution of the Internet has perhaps made the biggest impact on the history of online trading. Using the Internet, communication has become very effortless and we can now stay in contact every single second of the day no matter what time zone you are in. This has led to amendment of laws that now permit seamless trading at any given moment.

The kinds of activities using online trading include stocks, forex, futures and option trading. Prior to the Internet the process was slow as written instructions and memos had to be signed for deals to be made. Retail traders suffered and had limited flexibility then and many good business opportunities would be missed.

As almost all the brokers today offer service of online trading to their customers, the costs of trading have considerably reduced.

In case you are new to this business I suggest that instead of being hasty, you should first avail some basic information about online trading, if you don’t want to end up losing your hard earned money.

You can get this information online. There are a number of websites that offer free courses and e-books on online trading, and there are many forums where you can talk with other people about this.

Free information is good, but it has its drawbacks too. Advisable is to invest in what you wish to learn but on the same hand do not let this process hamper your trading activities.

The onset of online trading has changed the rules of the game. It is no longer a monopoly of the ‘big’ traders anymore and even small retail traders like us have a good chance to make money.

Dr. Joshua Geralds is a successful Investment Specialist with over twenty years experience increasing the income of people world wide. For a limited time get his free Money Management to a Million Dollars e-course here: http://www.pipsalot.com

 

Forex Trading For Maximum Profit – Is A Book Really Enough?

Forex Trading for Maximum Profit is something which requires expertise, knowledge of the market, a feel for market fluctuation, and that elusive thing called “luck” which most traders hate to think about but it does still exist. Forex Trading for Maximum Profit is also the name of a popular but much criticized book which is supposed to teach you what you need to know about making the most profits on currency trading.

However, in this article I’m not going to discuss this book specifically but all forex courses and books. Can you really achieve maximum forex profits just by reading some book?

I believe the answer is a flat NO! Sure, I recommend widening the scope of your forex knowledge as much as you can, and there are excellent courses that can help you make more money trading on the forex market. But no course can help you maximize your forex earnings without combining it with at least one supporting automatic trading software.

The reasons for this are simple:

1. The forex market is a global market which operates on a 24/7 basis. As you can’t possible be awake around the clock, you’re missing valuable money making opportunities. A software can take care of that for you.

2. The Forex market is run globally which means that it works on multiple markets simultaneously. You can’t monitor so many markets at the same time. A software can.

3. You can’t expect to prevent your emotions from ever influencing your trading decisions. They always do regardless of how well you trade. You’re human, and emotions play a part. A software doesn’t make these kinds of mistakes. It works without fear or greed and so has a good chance of increasing your profits.

There is more than 1 good forex trading software. But you should always have one by your side if you wish to maximize your profits.

To read about 1 recommended software, click here: ForexAutoPilot Review. John Drummond works from home. He writes often on business, trading, and finances. There is more than one forex trading software. To read John Drummond’s review of the 2 best ones, click here: Automatic Forex Trading Software.

 

How to Have More Than Enough by David Ramsey – A Book Review

Dave Ramsey is a financial guru, and my favorite book is his “How to Have More than Enough: A Step-by-Step Guide to Creating Abundance”.

More than a budgeting book and how to cut costs guide (and this book does include both), it outlines his “baby steps”.

Step 1: set up an emergency fund for true emergencies. And he explains what real emergencies are (medical, car repairs, etc).

Step 2: debt snowball, and ways to find money for it.

Step 3: 3-6 months of emergency savings. This is what you live off of if you lose a job, get downgraded at work, etc.

The next savings for retirement, house, college, are all prioritized.

I enjoy this book because it talks about not just how to plan your finances, like paying off debt comes before retirement savings, and you say no to kids college before you have credit card bills, but do save for college before you pay off the house early. He even details how to get back on track if an emergency comes up, and more debt result – like a surprise surgery and you’ve used up the emergency fund AND savings.

The changes he details to get the mindset in order – how to not just tighten the belt but be able to live and even thrive living on less than you make, are key here. It’s not just clenching teeth for a few months or a year to pay off those debts. It’s changes in lifestyle, too, so you never get into debt (except a house mortgage) again. And then it’s how to live and prosper later, when you can afford the toys (when you can save up and pay cash for them) later.

Live like no one else so that later you can live like no one else. And you’re allowed to say “No” to the kids demands for toys, to all the “please give me another loan” and “but I really need you to do this” while you get your own life in order.

How to Have More Than Enough is a financial planning book that almost anybody could relate to and apply for a more pleasant financial well being.

Gordon Kaye is an avid reader who loves nothing more than to put on a pair of comfortable reading glasses and sitting down with a great book. He hopes to share his great literary finds with you. http://www.EasyReadingGlasses.com

 

Allocating to Alternative Investments? – Read This First

Are you in the market for an alternative investment? If you are one of the prudent investors who is seeking to allocate a portion of assets to strategies not normally employed by the investing public this article is a must read.

There are primarily two forms of alternative investment management, hedge funds and managed futures. Hedge funds are invested in a vast number of products, both exchange listed and Over-the-Counter (OTC) derivatives. Managed futures are generally only invested in exchange listed commodity futures contracts, regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Be careful! If the wrong investment is chosen the investor may be left with a bad experience of alternative investment products. This article will focus on the very important issues of transparency, liquidity, lock ups, returns and taxes in regards to the alternative asset class. Readers should leave with a better understanding of a few of the primary issues involving any alternative asset investment.

TRANSPARENCY

Transparency is an issue with any investment. Most investors want to know exactly what their money is doing at all times. Giving money to someone who claims to have returns of X without knowing what the manager is actually doing is generally a bad idea. Transparency is becoming more and more of an issue as the universe of investable products grows exponentially. The recent hedge fund “blow-ups” are a case in point.

Hedge funds are alternative investment vehicles that can be invested in anything from Johnson and Johnson common stock to over the counter derivatives based in Zimbabwe. The universe of products is virtually limitless. When an investor becomes a limited partner of a hedge fund, in most cases he/she is giving it free reign over the funds they have invested. If the manager chooses to, he/she could invest in waffles and chances are the investor would never have any idea. Hedge funds are not required to tell investors exactly where capital is being deployed. To make matters worse, many of the products do not have a closing value at the end of the day, so even if the investors knew what the funds were invested in they would have no idea what their investment was actually worth on any given day. There is absolutely no transparency. All the investors get is a quarterly statement informing them of gains or losses and maybe some commentary if the manager is not too busy. In some cases investors hear that, virtually overnight, more than 50% of their funds have been lost. Long-Term Capital Management is the most infamous case of a hedge fund “blowing up,” but recently there have been quite a few more that are going down in history, such as Amaranth’s $6 billion loss in 2006, Absolute Capital Groups’ 30-40% loss and Focus Capital’s 80% loss in early 2008.

The story is much clearer if the investor is involved in a managed futures product, or with a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA). A CTA generally has a very specific strategy that is defined in the investor’s disclosure document, which is similar to a prospectus. The CTA is required to state exactly what products the investor’s money will be invested in as well as exactly how the manager plans to invest. What’s more, once invested with a CTA investors will receive a statement every time a trade is placed. At the end of every day the products in which investor capital is deployed are marked with a closing price determined by the exchange. This allows the investor to know exactly what his/her investment is worth.

It is really up to the investor as to what makes him or her comfortable. If one person does fine not know where his assets are invested then the transparency issue may not need to be considered, but for most of us it is of the utmost importance.

LIQUIDITY

Liquidity: a business, economics or investment term that refers to an assets ability to be easily converted to cash through an act of buying or selling without causing a significant movement in the price and with minimum loss of value. (defined by wikipedia.org)

Liquidity can be an issue with both hedge funds and managed futures, but a good manager will tend to avoid instruments that are illiquid or difficult to trade in and out of.

As stated previously, hedge fund managers can and do invest in a vast array of products. Many of these products are OTC derivatives or products that are traded between banks and the hedge funds directly. If the hedge fund buys an OTC derivative from a bank, and later decides it needs to sell that particular product back, the bank alone determines what they will buy it back for, or worse, if they can buy it back at all. In that case the hedge fund may not be able to get out of a losing position.

Liquidity is an issue that has gripped a number of hedge funds lately. Many have been forced to shut down because they were invested in highly illiquid derivatives linked to sub-prime mortgages. When the counter parties began to refuse to buy the products back the funds had no choice but to liquidate their portfolios at extremely discounted prices and shut their doors, or refuse investors’ requests to withdraw their money.

Unfortunately liquidity can be an issue for managed futures as well. Most managers only trade in highly liquid commodities; however, there are times when even the most liquid commodity can become illiquid very fast. Illiquidity can be caused by many factors, from politics to supply and demand imbalances to general investor fear and greed. A prudent manager will prevent investors from being too exposed to liquidity risks by implementing some sort of hedge, diversification or proper position sizing of the account.

When dealing in listed markets, as most managed futures products do, the counter party to any trade usually has a number of other counter parties willing to buy or sell at specified prices. This kind of open auction system generally allows for prices to be fair. To give investors even more comfort each account is guaranteed by the exchange clearing house through customer margin deposits, meaning that the chance of a counter party defaulting on any given transaction is drastically reduced. However, when dealing with obscure OTC markets, as many hedge funds do, most of the time there is only one counter party to the trade, meaning it is not guaranteed by anyone, which not only makes the chance of default higher but at the same time makes the likelihood of getting a fair price on any given trade much less.

When investing in a hedge fund or managed futures product it is important to understand how liquidity can affect the investment. If a manager is using too much leverage or is consistently involved in thinly traded OTC products that are less liquid it may be a sign that investing in that vehicle at that time is not wise.

LOCK UP PERIOD

A lock up period is the time after the initial investment in which the investor is not allowed to withdraw funds from that particular vehicle. After the specified lock up period investors are free to withdraw funds as defined in the disclosure document of each hedge fund.

Almost all hedge funds have a lock up period. This period can range from as little as three months to longer than two years. Generally the more established the fund the longer the lock up period. A lock up period is generally good for managers and not so good for investors. If a manager has a lock up period of one year and immediately after making an investment the trading starts to go poorly, that manager has a right to continue trading that money until the lock up period is over; because the investor has previously agreed to the terms and conditions in the disclosure document he or she is not able to request redemption until the specified time period is up.

Managed futures products are different. Most managed futures products do not have lock up periods. There are a few that have lock ups ranging anywhere from three months to a year, but this is not the status quo in the industry. If an investment in a managed futures product needs to be redeemed it can generally be taken care of within a few hours. This is very beneficial if you have taxes due, college tuition that needs to be paid or any unexpected expenses that comes up.

Lock up periods will be foreign to most investors who have not invested in alternative investments before. Make sure when reading the disclosure document that the lock up and withdrawal periods are properly discussed. Also, note that in many cases the lock up period is an area that can be negotiated to the investor’s benefit.

RETURNS

Returns are returns, right? Wrong! Returns are a very deceiving form of analysis for any alternative investment. Most investors make investment decisions based on previous returns, but this is a flawed concept. The main issue is that past returns have absolutely nothing to do with future returns. This has been proven time and time again as managers that were once out-performing begin to under-perform and managers that were struggling rise to the top. Wise investors will not base their investment decisions on past returns or assumptions made about future returns.

The fact of the matter is that no manager really knows what returns will be from year to year. Managers can target a certain return but there is absolutely no guarantee that the goal will be achieved. If any manager, whether hedge fund or CTA, specifically promises a return that is a sign to seek a different manager. Likewise, if a manager touts his/her past returns it is a sign he/she does not fully understand that returns are completely unrelated to each other and have no bearing on the future.

There are numerous databases in which managers can post monthly returns and potential investors view them, but this is completely the wrong way to make any investment decision. Chasing returns leads investors down the wrong path and can have devastating effects on their capital (see “Transparency”).

What investors need to do is search through these alternative investment managers by strategy, not by returns. The investor should pick a few advisors from each category after reading about the managers’ approach to the market. Once a few are decided on, the investor should call each manager and request more information and/or a meeting. All managers will have a disclosure document and possibly some marketing material that can be given to potential investors. Meeting the manager of a hedge fund can be a difficult task unless the investor is placing a very large sum. CTAs, however, are generally much more open and willing to meet with investors, so getting a meeting with them is entirely possible.

Once the proper due diligence is done and the investor likes the manager’s strategy and approach, an investment can be made. Be careful not to invest too many assets with any one manager or specific style, as that is not proper diversification. It is wise for the investor to build a portfolio of alternative asset managers over a wide range of strategies, as this may reduce the risk of any one particular manager or style.

TAXES

Hedge funds often provide the investor with very unfavorable tax treatment because they are invested in many different products all over the world. This may have a vast array of consequences on the investor’s overall taxes. Hedge funds uniformly report investors’ gains or losses in August after each tax year, forcing an extension of filing. Additionally, the tax returns are very complex, often over 30 pages for each fund invested in. To try and explain all the possible tax consequences of a hedge fund would probably require an entire book. In the interest of time the entire spectrum of hedge fund tax accounting simply cannot be delved into at this point.

For managed futures products the tax accounting is very simple. Since most trades take place within Regulated Futures Contracts (RFC) regulated by the CFTC, contracts receive Internal Revenue Code Section 1256 treatment. In this case 60% of profits are taxed at the long-term capital gains rate and 40% are taxed at the short-term capital gains rate. For a profitable managed futures product this effective tax rate of 23% provides a 12% advantage over hedge funds that trade frequently. This can, however, be a stumbling block in the case of large losses. When a loss is recorded and 60/40 treatment has been elected the investor is only allowed to carry forward $3000 of those losses every year. If the investor’s loss is large this can be a real headache, as he/she will be carrying forward losses indefinitely. There is a bright side, and that is if the investor has created a portfolio of managed futures products and another manager has produced gains the investor can write off the loss against the gains of that other manager.

In the end calculating taxes for a managed futures product is much simpler than for a hedge fund. For some investors this may not be an issue, as their CPAs will manage everything, but it would be important to consult with the CPA prior to investing to make sure he/she fully understands the implications involved with the new investment.

WHAT IS THE CONCLUSION?

As a responsible investor it is prudent to have up to 20% of assets invested in the alternative investments. This can be achieved by utilizing hedge funds or managed futures products. It is the investor’s choice as to which is better suited for their portfolio. It is important to not be too heavily invested in one particular alternative asset manager or specific alternative asset strategy. Investors are encouraged to create a portfolio of alternative asset managers, just as they create a portfolio of mutual funds, stocks and bonds. Numerous studies have shown how diversification into alternative assets can, over time, smooth out the volatility of an investor’s portfolio.

The topics discussed above represent only a small portion of the differences between these two popular alternative investment styles. Proper due diligence is the sole responsibility of the investor and requires a much closer look than these few issues. Careful consideration of one’s own financial condition must be taken into account, as the risk of loss can be substantial in any alternative investment.

 

Forex Autopilot System – Don’t Make These Critical Mistakes

More and more people are using automated Forex trading software. They believe they can just set it up and forget, and it will generate them a decent profit. Actually yes, it’s that easy. However, many people experience failure. Then they start thinking if the software really works. Why is that so?

If used properly, the Forex autopilot software can be a money generator for you. The only thing you must do in order to be successful is take a closer look into the common mistakes people make. Then you don’t make them.

The first critical mistake people make with this software is they use it without understanding it. Then you get a tool, the first thing you have to do is find out how it works. Read the documentation provided with the software carefully. After you are sure you understand everything correctly you can start using the software.

The second critical mistake people make is they jump into the Forex market and start trading without understanding the Forex essentials. You can’t be successful in such a difficult system as Forex without understanding its basics. No software can substitute the human brain, without this background information you will probably not make any money. Remember, before you start trading on Forex with your real money, spend some time learning its essentials.

However, you have to remember that no Forex autopilot system can be 100% successful. When people start using Forex autopilot software, they expect every trade to be successful, that never happens. There are both successes and failures as in life, but the good software can significantly increase your success rate. If it wins more money than it loses than it is considered to be the good software.

It’s important to choose the right Forex trading software. However, it’s a hard and time consuming task. I had this problem, so I did a research. You can use my findings for your advantage:

==> Automatic Forex Trading Software <==

I selected 4 Forex trading programs that meet my requirements the best. Then let them run for 4 months in parallel. In the end of that period, the best performing program made me an average of $1560 per month. You can find out more here:

==> Automatic Forex Trading Software <==

 

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